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WEEKEND REVIEW: 15th - 17th September

Wed 19 Sep 2007, 16:33

Some people seem to always be sceptical of the law of averages, regression to the mean or as Justin Timberlake recently sang ‘What goes around comes around’. But it is not a phenomenon, it is fact. If a stretch of road takes on average 30 minutes to travel you are not always going to pass it in 30 minutes flat. Sometimes it will take 40 minutes and sometimes 20, but on average it will take 30 minutes. This law of averages governs many things and especially events that incorporate human error. That is why when Chelsea had a perfectly good goal disallowed this weekend, it wasn’t divine intervention, it was merely the law of averages in effect balancing out Chelsea’s tally of suspect refereeing decisions this season after the favourable penalty awarded in their favour against Liverpool at Anfield last month. These types of tight decisions are more or less governed by luck and always even themselves out over time. A whole season might even be too small a sample size, but over a sufficient period, a team will have had an equal number of tight decisions in their favour as those against. Of course that is of no consolation to Jose Mourinho of Chelsea; but what goes around, comes around.  

Performance of the Week

The performance of the week has to go to Arsenal, after their come-from-behind win against Tottenham at White Hart Lane. After going a goal down after 15 minutes, Arsenal didn’t get firing on all cylinders until the second stanza, but dominated the final 30 minutes scoring three times and making the Tottenham defence look very average indeed. For Tottenham it was the second straight game they have given up a second half lead and the second game in a row when they have conceded three goals. 

Stat of the Week No.1

Local derbys have always had a reputation for being physical encounters and the Tottenham and Arsenal clash on Saturday did nothing to dispel that notion with a combined total of 50 fouls. 

Stat of the Week No.2

In the same game Arsenal’s Vassiriki Diaby committed eight fouls in only 56 minutes on the pitch – for the rate fans out there that’s one every seven minutes.

Stat of the Week No.3

Even with their goal versus Everton on Saturday lunch time in their sixth game of the season Man United are still one goal behind the number they scored in their first game last season when they put five passed Fulham at Old Trafford.  

Stat of the Week No.4

After picking up his second assist this season versus Newcastle on Monday night, Derby goalkeeper Stephen Bywater now has more assists than Steven Gerrard, Paul Scholes, Ryan Giggs, Dimitar Berbatov and Robin Van Persie to name but a few.

Goal of the Week No.1

Emmanuel Adeybayor’s excellent control, turn and hit for thegoal in the 90th minute against Tottenham was undefendable for Michael Dawson and equally impossible for Paul Robinson to stop.

Route-one goal of the week

Kenny Miller and Derby County tie their record for the season with another three touch goal – Stephen Bywater’s goalkick, Steve Howard’s touch and Kenny Miller’s viciously swerving shot from well outside the area.

Coaching Performance of the Week

The coaching performance of the week has to go to Derby boss Billy Davies for guiding his team to their first win of the season. Derby finally displayed the fight and energy that will be needed if they have any hope of surviving relegation this season. Even with a two week international break this must have been difficult task coming off a horrible 6-0 thrashing at the hands of Liverpool in their last league game.

Ten observations from the Weekend

1. Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea will all be hoping that they too have equally bad ‘struggling’ periods as Manchester United this season. As we mentioned above, Untied have struggled to find the net so far this season, scoring eight fewer goals than at this time last season, but still have 11 points – a total only two less than they had at the same point last season. What has kept United alive is a very good defensive record, having conceded only two goals all season and held three straight clean sheets. It is almost impossible to believe that the United attack will suffer a year long slump and with that in mind it is hard to argue that the rest of the ‘big four’ have put enough daylight between them and the slumping Champions. 

2. One observation that might have gone unnoticed during this barren run by United is that Nani has been involved in each and every United goal this season. He crossed to Tevez for him to lay off for Paul Scholes’ goal versus Portsmouth, scored versus Tottenham and took both of the corners that led to Saha’s and Vidic’s game winning goals.

3. Reading fans should fear not from the second year syndrome just yet. After all, we are only six games into the season and it’s worth remembering that in their success of last season, the team lost six of their first 11 games and only had 13 points after the second Saturday in November, having lost four straight games by a combined score of 1-10. They then went on to win 15 of their next 27 games and collect 42 points. However, if their forwards don’t get scoring soon, it could be a long season.

4. Sunderland’s Kenwyne Jones had a brilliant debut on Saturday scoring the first goal of the game and creating the second. So far this season Sunderland have looked pretty toothless in attack apart from Michael Chopra, but Jones looked lively, full of running and very strong against Reading. One game does not make a season, but Sunderland fans will be hoping that was only the start of an impressive season to come from the former Southampton star.

6. There is so much we could pick on Jose Mourinho for this week – smell gate, egg gate etc – but we thought we would focus on his continuing poor relationship with Andriy Shevchenko. His reaction to Shevchenko’s missed opportunity against Blackburn on Saturday, after the Ukrainian international’s poor second touch, was equivalent to throwing him under a bus. Shevchenko looks like a player short on confidence and when your manager (who should be fighting your corner) reacts in such a flamboyant manner at a missed chance, it can hardly fill you with confidence. Then again Shevchenko wasn’t Mourinho’s buy was he?

7. Tottenham’s defending can’t go by without comment on how lacklustre it has been this season. But, saving the goalkeeper and defenders from more blushes, we want to highlight the poor job Tottenham’s midfielders do of tracking back and closing down the opposition. One only has to look at the tape of the goals that gave Arsenal the lead and secured the win on Saturday. On both occasions, after possession was lost, Tottenham midfielders just stood and watched or lightly jogged as Arsenal players streamed forward left, right and centre. Arsenal’s third goal came from a failed counter-attack that was actually cleared by one of the few Tottenham defenders to get back. The clearance fell to Cesc Fabregas in the middle of midfield, with still no Spurs player near him - giving him all the time in the world to find Adebayor on the edge of the area. That is poor defending all round and adds to the writing on the wall for Martin Jol.

8. Carlton Cole put in a performance, after coming on as a 26th minute substitute for Craig Bellamy, that was the reason for us stating in this year’s book that he could one day be an 8 goal-8 assist player at the top level. He is more of a goal creator than a goal scorer in the Peter Crouch mould and often takes unfair criticism. But the fact remains that if given a chance he could be a very valuable occasional starter for West Ham this season.

9. FINALLY, someone in the national media mentioned that Sir Alex Ferguson rotates his players a lot (last season he tied for 1st with Rafa Benitez in total starting line-up changes). However, Alan Hansen then let himself down by stating he only does it at home. Check out this weeks MYTH BUSTING article on the subject if you want to know more.

10. Liverpool, Manchester United, Middlesbrough and Wigan are the only Premier League teams to not concede a goal from any form of set piece so far this season.

What to watch out for next week

If Mourinho and Chelsea lose to Manchester United next weekend, is Jose Mourinho in the coaching hot seat?

 Alternatively, you could just watch the football.

About the Author

Oliver Anderson is the director of Sports Statistical Reviews Ltd which is an innovator in the collection, analysis and interpretation of progressive sport statistics.

If you enjoyed this article and are interested in football statistics then we recommend you buy The Football Review 2007 which investigates each Premier League club and player in detail as well as looking at other hot topics that defined the season.